Associate Professor Daniel P. Franklin, a Georgia State University political scientist who studies the presidency and executive power is available to discuss the Republican Iowa Caucus and how the results will set the tone for primaries in New Hampshire and beyond.
Contact information for Franklin is available in the box above for individuals registered and logged into the Newswise system.
“The game’s on,” said Franklin, author of “Pitiful Giants: Presidents in their Final Term” (Palgrave MacMillian, 2014). “Now that the preliminaries are over, the primaries will be happening in quick succession. Because the nominations process is a serial election, candidates have to perform better than expected from one week to the next at the risk of losing their funding.”
Iowa sets the start, but New Hampshire will particularly winnow down the field, and losing candidates will have trouble getting donations – on both sides of the political aisle, he said.
Franklin said that after the New Hampshire primaries on Feb. 9, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and Carly Fiorina are likely to be out of the race, and not longer thereafter, Dr. Ben Carson and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. On the Democratic side, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley will most likely be out of the race, he added.
“The conundrum candidates have when they aren't winning elections is whether they want to throw their own money into a losing cause,” Franklin said. “That's why candidates who are personally wealthy can hold out a little longer.
“But no matter how rich you are, throwing money away isn't a good use of your assets,” he said.
For more about Franklin, including his CV and a list of publications, visit http://politicalscience.gsu.edu/profile/daniel-p-franklin/.
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