Figure: Baseline estimates of incidence rates and early spatial distribution of incidence. (Top) Daily incidence of symptomatic infections (median) estimates across Kenya for an uncontrolled epidemic and five different rates of subclinical transmission. Ribbon plot give median estimates with 95% prediction intervals.
(Bottom) As top but incidence is given for each county using the 25% relative subclinical transmission scenario as representative. Legend is organized by median incidence rate at 40 days.