Stability at the top, growing opposition to Bloomberg, Steyer

 Iowa State University
19-Dec-2019 6:00 AM EST, by Iowa State University

Newswise — AMES, Iowa – The top tier of Democratic presidential candidates remains relatively unchanged in the latest Iowa State University/Civiqs poll.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg continues to lead the pack at 24%, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders at 21% who jumped ahead of Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 18%. Joe Biden remains in fourth with 15% of likely Iowa caucus-goers selecting the former vice president as their top choice. Dave Peterson, a professor and Whitaker Lindgren faculty fellow in political science who organizes the poll, says Iowa Democrats appear to be narrowing the field of candidates they’re considering.

“We asked Iowans to list their first choice, second choice, and who they are considering. Less than 40% of Iowa Democrats even listed a single candidate who they were considering after their second choice,” Peterson said. “In contrast, the number of Democrats who listed at least one candidate they did not want increased to just shy of 70%.”

The online poll of 632 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted Dec. 12-16. A majority of survey respondents have been interviewed each month to understand how voter preferences are changing leading up to the Iowa caucuses on Feb. 3. Peterson says while Warren and Sanders flipped spots from last month’s poll, none of the candidates in the top tier moved more than 3%.

No breakthroughs in the second tier

The second tier candidates show no signs of a breakthrough, Peterson said. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, who is in fifth, is down slightly from last month with 4%. And Peterson says there is growing opposition to candidates at the bottom of the second tier.  

“For seven of the bottom eight candidates, more Iowans say they do not want them as the nominee than Iowans who say they are even considering them. It is particularly bad for Bloomberg and Steyer,” Peterson said. “Iowa Democrats have been unwelcoming to Bloomberg ever since he announced his candidacy, but the negative opinions of Steyer have increased. Many of the respondents seem to think of them as a pair, indicating opposition to the billionaires in the race.”

The online survey was sent to selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Likely caucus attendees were identified as those who responded they would “definitely” or “probably” attend the Iowa Democratic Caucuses and identified as Democrats or independents. An oversample of Democrats and independents were selected to produce a larger number of likely caucus attendees.

Demographic data were collected in previous Civiqs surveys. The results for registered voters are weighted by age, race, gender, education, party and congressional district to be representative of registered voters in Iowa. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9%. Results of the next poll are expected in late January.

The Iowa State University/Civiqs poll is funded by Iowa State’s Department of Political Science, Catt Center for Women and Politics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, Office of the Vice President for Research and the Whitaker-Lindgren Faculty Fellowship. 

Filters close

Showing results

110 of 5682
Released: 2-Dec-2020 7:15 AM EST
Congress Must Act To Fortify Health Care System And Protect Access To Care
American College of Radiology (ACR)

The final 2021 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule fails to avert the potential impact on seniors of payment cuts to more than a million health care providers already reeling from COVID-19’s financial impact. If Congress does not act now to address these changes, the results may be devastating for patients, communities and providers.

Released: 1-Dec-2020 11:10 AM EST
‘Fairmandering’ data tool makes redistricting more representative
Cornell University

A new mathematical method developed by Cornell University researchers can inject fairness into the fraught process of political redistricting – and proves that it takes more than good intent to create a fair and representative district.

Newswise: Efficient In-person voting observed by URI VOTES research team
Released: 30-Nov-2020 4:30 PM EST
Efficient In-person voting observed by URI VOTES research team
University of Rhode Island

The 2020 election is all but complete, but a team of researchers at the University of Rhode Island is still crunching the numbers – not the number of votes, but the statistics used to determine the efficiency of in-person voting in Rhode Island, Nebraska and Los Angeles.

Newswise: Rutgers Philosophy Professor Analyzes Justice Issues in New Podcast
Released: 30-Nov-2020 9:30 AM EST
Rutgers Philosophy Professor Analyzes Justice Issues in New Podcast
Rutgers University-New Brunswick

Rutgers-New Brunswick philosophy Professor Derrick Darby is helping to bring logic and data to discussions on the struggle for justice in America and globally in A Pod Called Quest.

Released: 20-Nov-2020 4:25 PM EST
Those darn property taxes! Insights from Texas tax protests
University of California, Berkeley Haas School of Business

Everyone loves to complain that their taxes are too high. Yet few people actually take the time to formally protest them. A recent deep-dive into property tax appeals in Texas offers new insights on what motivates people to protest or accept their tax obligations.


Showing results

110 of 5682

close
2.43904